Monday, August 3, 2009

DID THEY, NOW?

Dissociative Identity Disorder (DID) is a psychiatric disorder that describes a condition in which a single person displays multiple distinct identities, each with its own pattern of perceiving and interacting with the environment.

Although most people refer to Schizophrenia as "split personality," it is not. Schizophrenia is characterized by abnormalities in the perception or expression of reality.

Poor old Earth has DID.

In the Pacific Northwest, temperatures have been soaring to record heights: 103 degrees!

Global warming?

Meanwhile, in the Northeast temperatures have been dropping to record lows!

Global cooling?

The truth is, the atmosphere is so very large, with so many, many factors influencing climate at any given point at any given time that it is absolutely impossible to make an accurate prediction of what it has done, is doing or is going to do.

Now let me be clear.

There is no such thing as chance.

Chance is simply not having enough facts.

Take rolling dice, for instance.

If you could measure every factor of physics involved in every throw of the dice (the position of the dice when you throw them, the exact weight of the dice, all of the leverages involved in a given throw, the humidity of the air around the dice in flight, the air pressure where you are when you throw them, the energy of the throw, and about sixty other factors), you could predict how the dice would turn up every time. (Look out Vegas.)

The earth's atmosphere is vastly more complicated than rolling a couple of dice.

Atmospheric "scientists" create computer models of what the weather will be like on any given day at any given place. (Get it? They create the models.)

Here in Florida, we regularly get reports of where some tropical storm or hurricane is headed.

Invariably, we are told, "Some computer models show the storm heading northwest, and some showing it heading north and then east.

Meteorologists then take a kind of average of the computer models to predict where the storm is going.

They are almost always wrong by at least a gaggle of miles on predictions more than 24 hours out.

So, if these trained, expert weather scientists can't consistently get it right right in their own back yards, what on earth makes you think they can speak authoritatively about global weather?

But you have been taught to trust them and so you do, in spite of your experience with their local weather forecasts.

The experts at The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration have told us that there would be about 9 - 14 named storms in the Atlantic this year, 4 - 7 hurricanes and 1 - 3 major hurricanes.

We've not had a single named storm in this two month old hurricane season and only one tropical depression, which lasted a few days and then fell apart.

There's still time, but the Atlantic is not following the computer models.

And there's the proverbial rub.

The atmosphere does not pay one bit of attention to the computer models.

The designation, "Global Warming," has given way to "Climate Change," which is really, really stupid, not to mention both redundant and repetitive.

"Climate" is defined as how weather behaves and changes in a given location.

So, "Climate Change," is like saying, "Change Change."

Now look! (A favorite saying of "everybody's" favorite president, President BO.) Don't be such a schmuck as to think that there is anybody who can tell you what all is going on globally when it comes to weather.

Be smarter than that.

Just like you're too smart to believe other things based only on the fact that someone taught it to you.

When the actual facts present themselves to you, you might end up with Dissociative Identity Disorder.

8 comments:

sue said...

All I know is that we just experienced the mildest July I can remember.

Dan said...

The atmosphere does not pay one bit of attention to the computer models.

You know that no one on the global warming band wagon could care less about the weather. The real question is how many people can be convined the sky is falling and "I'm your man" for fixing it.

Great post BTW

shoprat said...

The earth has no such problem. It's humanity that has the problem.

Bryan said...

Here is the real global warming that Mr. Gore and his followers should be concerned about:

"But the day of the Lord will come as a thief in the night; in the which the heavens shall pass away with a great noise, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat, the earth also and the works that are therein shall be burned up.

Seeing then that all these things shall be dissolved, what manner of persons ought ye to be in all holy conversation and godliness,

Looking for and hasting unto the coming of the day of God, wherein the heavens being on fire shall be dissolved, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat?" (2Pe 3:10-12.)

ablur said...

I am so tired of the heat. We have been in the 100s here for days. All a person can do is sweat and drink to replace.
No it isn't global warming. The record here was 107. The record was set 50+ years ago. So we did it again. It doesn't suggest anything has really changed. We have simply repeated what has already happened.
Now that we have proved nothing has changed, can we stop all the hoopla about nothing?

Barry O said...

Uh-oh. I that cant be good for cap and spend...

Joe said...

Oh, Barry O! So nice of you to drop by.

Now see, you've gone and let the cat out of the bag.

It's Cap and Trade, Barry O, Cap and Trade.

If you call it Cap and Spend, people might figure out what it is really all about.

tapline said...

you mean Gore didn't know what he was talking about????? but I thought he was the know all, or is it know it all?????just saying......