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RUSSIAN President Vladimir Putin has been named the most powerful person in the world by Forbes, toppling US President Barack Obama |
It seems that I have been right concerning Obama's amateurism. Around the world, people are asking (particularly our allies) "Who is this guy and what on earth is he up to?"
The world’s governments no longer worry as
much as they once did about what Washington wants, partly because Washington doesn't know what it wants. U.S. policy has become erratic and half-hearted, subject to arbitrary change without notice.
Barack Obama, who apparently distrusts
American power, personifies this approach. He moves capriciously from subject
to subject. One week he’s furious about Syria and announces that Bashar
al-Assad has to go. When Assad doesn't go, Obama loses interest. He seems
always to be making a fresh start. When he’s not doing that, he’s “pivoting,”
shifting his interest from one continent to another. He seems detached much of
the time, then committed, then detached again.
On Libya, for instance, Obama opposed
taking part in the UN strike to oust Muammar Gaddafi. Then suddenly he decided
to join the French and other participants. The American bombs he sent became
the key to destroying Gaddafi and his reign, but Obama claimed America had
played only a peripheral role.
An Obama adviser famously described Libya
as a new model for American intervention, “leading from behind.” Whatever it
was, the allies didn't follow through and Libya was left in chaos. Terrorists
gratefully inherited a huge cache of weapons.
On Iran, the United States has taken
several large steps backward. When Israel publicly considered bombing Iranian
nuclear sites, the Americans discouraged the Israelis and adopted Iran’s bomb
as their own problem. Soon they announced, portentously, that all “options are
on the table,” including not just sanctions but also force.
The idea of an attack was soon abandoned,
however, and last autumn a new approach was taken: negotiation. The United
States led the UN Security Council and Germany in the effort to persuade Iran
to give up its dreams of a nuclear bomb in return for the lifting of economic
sanctions.
In November, the Washington
Post echoed the government
with a triumphant headline: “Iran, world powers reach historic nuclear deal.”
But in fact they had merely made a deal to hold some meetings about making a
deal that might be historic.
After half a year of talking, Iran’s view
can now be summarized: No, we are not building a nuclear bomb and No, you can’t
come and inspect us.
That the Parliament of our closest ally,
Great Britain, rejected an air campaign first gave Mr Obama an additional
reason for inactivity. The flailing seemed to end when Russian President
Vladimir Putin opened the door to a negotiated deal with Syria. But it was not
the end; it was the beginning.
For as the administration rushed to that
door, all over the world those who depended on America when in harrowing
circumstances were asking themselves: How reliable is America now? How strong
now?
Also asking was Mr Putin. He noted the
contrast between Mr Obama’s bold talk and timid response. As the former head of
a friendly government said in a small meeting I attended not long ago: ‘Putin
is cautious. He will probe. If he encounters resistance, he will pull back.’
The US failure to follow through in Syria
gave the Russian president confidence that he could move with impunity.
SOON he was picking a fight with Ukraine.
Like the scene in The Godfather – when, at his child’s baptism, Michael
Corleone renounces the devil as the camera cuts back and forth to his men
eliminating rival gangsters – Putin, before global television cameras, watched
the opening ceremonies of the Sochi Olympics as Russian troops began movements
preparatory to seizing Crimea.
This week, in the skies over Ukraine, we
saw the consequences of the recklessness that the Russian godfather’s probing
has unleashed.
Putin was not the only one to detect
opportunity in American indecision. China stepped up its probes in the East and
South China Seas. In the Middle East, with the US military presence drawn down
nearly to zero in Iraq and soon Afghanistan, an army of ruthless fanatics
gestating unnoticed in Syria’s east saw the chance to break out of national
boundaries and within a few weeks occupied much of western and central Iraq.
Why has so much of the global order come
apart so fast?
For the same reason that, as a friend
reports, on the streets of San Salvador those who will smuggle your child to
the Rio Grande have been securing an unprecedented volume of sign-ups. When
asked about the chances of the child staying in America once the border is
crossed, they tell parents: ‘It has never been easier.’
Now the word on weakness is everywhere,
even the poorest barrios of Central America.
The Scary Part is that Americans, especially liberals, support President BO (the amateur president)'s
The context for the change in America’s international
role was provided by a Pew Research Center poll in December. It determined that
more than half of Americans now think the United States should mind its own
business and let other countries “get along the best they can on their own” —
the highest number since Pew began raising that issue 40 years ago. Robert
Kagan, the author of The World America Made, believes Americans feel an uneasy desire to shed the
burdens that their country assumed from 1941 to the end of the Cold War. Many
Americans imagine they would be happier in a “normal” kind of America, a nation
more attuned to its own needs, less to those of the wider world.
Obama’s policies may have evolved in response to this public
view, or perhaps his ideas influenced the public. The uncomfortable truth,
however, is that the United States is the only great power in this generation.
And power always brings responsibilities.
In spite of the liberal left's insistence that PBO (tap) is a good president, he is not so regarded by the rest of the world. That he was elected twice is a testament to the gullibility of the left.